Gas Prices

Will Drivers Catch a Break At the Pump Soon?

By: Andrew Gross & Devin Gladden

WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 20, 2023)—A drop in gasoline demand and falling oil prices may combine to take the air out of rising pump prices. The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline rose less than a nickel since last week to hit $3.68.

“The recent surge in oil costs took a break this week, with the price of oil tumbling back into the upper $70s per barrel,” said Andrew Gross, AAA spokesperson. “If this oil price trend continues, drivers may see falling gas prices.”

According to new data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), gas demand decreased from 8.94 to 8.52 million b/d last week. Meanwhile, total domestic gasoline stocks increased slightly by 1.3 million bbl to 223.5 million bbl. Lower demand, alongside growth in stocks, would typically push pump prices down; however, elevated oil prices over the past month pushed them higher.

Meanwhile, U.S. refineries are returning to service from extensive winter/spring maintenance. The EIA said total input rose last week by 330,000 b/d to 16.44 million b/d, putting it above this time last year. More refinery operations will be restarted in the next three weeks, with some planned work extending into June.

Today’s national average of $3.68 is 24 cents more than a month ago but 43 cents less than a year ago.

Quick Stats 

Since last Thursday, these 10 states have seen the largest increases in their averages: Arizona (+16 cents), Florida (+14 cents), Washington (+13 cents), Montana (+12 cents), New Hampshire (+11 cents), Kansas (+11 cents), Connecticut (+11 cents), Rhode Island (+10 cents), North Dakota (+10 cents) and Massachusetts (+10 cents).

The nation’s top 10 most expensive markets: California ($4.90), Hawaii ($4.78), Arizona ($4.68), Washington ($4.56), Nevada ($4.28), Illinois ($4.09), Oregon ($4.07), Alaska ($3.93), Pennsylvania ($3.77) and Washington, D.C. ($3.74).

Oil Market Dynamics

At the close of Wednesday’s formal trading session, WTI decreased by $1.70 to settle at $79.16. Oil prices fell yesterday amid ongoing market concerns that future interest rate increases could tip the economy into a recession, likely leading to reduced oil demand and prices. Additionally, the EIA reported that total domestic commercial crude inventories decreased by 4.5 million bbl to 466 million bbl last week.

Drivers can find current gas prices along their route using the AAA TripTik Travel planner.